Chet Holmgren Points - Player Prop Bet 6/11/2025

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Chet Holmgren

NBA · Player Props

Chet Holmgren

C-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Indiana Pacers vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Jun 11, 2025

Updated Jun 11, 2025 9:18 PM EST

Analysis

Chet Holmgren Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-140/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Chet Holmgren has sunk 52.7% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 10 games, 5.5% more than he's sunk over the course of the year.
Chet Holmgren has tallied 28.0 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 76th percentile.
The matchup against Myles Turner is a strong one; he has allowed a monstrous 13.6 points per game at home when guarding fellow starting Cs this year (100th percentile).
The 6th-fastest tempo offense in the NBA this year has been the Thunder.
The Indiana Pacers have played at the 6th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games in their home city, which ought to raise plays for the Thunder.

Favors Under

As a team, the Oklahoma City Thunder have been bad at getting to the charity stripe: 9th-worst in the NBA this year, drawing just 21.0 free throws per game.
Chet Holmgren will not possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home stadium tends to reduce player performance in all stat categories.

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