Chet Holmgren Points - Player Prop Bet 6/5/2025

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Chet Holmgren

NBA · Player Props

Chet Holmgren

C-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Indiana Pacers · Jun 5, 2025

Updated Jun 6, 2025 12:13 AM EST

Analysis

Chet Holmgren Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-260/+190).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ +200 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ +190.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Chet Holmgren has converted 6.8 shots made from the field per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 more than he's converted overall this year.
Chet Holmgren has converted 48.3% of his three-pointers over the last 5 games, 12.2% more than he's made from three in all games this year.
The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 4th-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 15 games while playing at home.
The Pacers have played at the 9th-most up-tempo pace in the league this year, which should lead to increased plays for the Oklahoma City Thunder.
The Thunder check in as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, Chet Holmgren registers in the 77th percentile for personal fouls, averaging a monstrous 2.2 fouls per game this year.
The matchup against the Indiana Pacers is a difficult one for shots from behind the three-point arc; the opposing team's starting PFs have averaged the least three attempts per game in the NBA this year (2.5).
In regard to getting to the foul line, the Oklahoma City Thunder's subpar 20.8 foul shot attempts per game playing at home places 8th-worst in the NBA this year.

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