Chet Holmgren Points - Player Prop Bet 5/24/2025

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NBA · Player Props

Chet Holmgren

C-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Oklahoma City Thunder · May 24, 2025

Updated May 25, 2025 12:23 AM EST

Analysis

Chet Holmgren Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-215/+160).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ +170 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ +160.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Chet Holmgren has made 56.4% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games, 9.4% more than he's converted in all games this year.
Chet Holmgren has attempted 6.0 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games away from home, 1.6 more than he's attempted in all games this season on the road.
Out of all players in the league, Chet Holmgren rates in the 76th percentile for playing time, totaling a colossal 28.1 minutes per game this year.
The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 6th-fastest tempo in the NBA this year.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark further chances for scoring and assists, and the Thunder rank 5th-best in in the league when playing away from home with 12.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Favors Under

The matchup vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves is a difficult one; they have given up the least points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting PFs this year (14.5).
The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 10 games, which ought to lead to decreased possessions for the Thunder.
As a team, the Oklahoma City Thunder have been quite unsuccesful at getting to the charity stripe: 9th-worst in the league this year, drawing a lowly 21.0 foul shots per game.
This year when they are on the road, the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted 3.1 foul shots per game (9th-fewest in the NBA) against the Timberwolves, making it tough to get to the charity stripe.
Chet Holmgren is expected to experience a decrease in productivity for all stats as a result of being on the road in this game.