Chet Holmgren Points - Player Prop Bet 5/20/2025

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Chet Holmgren

NBA · Player Props

Chet Holmgren

C-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Minnesota Timberwolves · May 20, 2025

Updated May 21, 2025 12:18 AM EST

Analysis

Chet Holmgren Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-125/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Chet Holmgren has compiled 13.8 points per game on his home court this year, placing him in the 76th percentile -- among the NBA's leaders in this category.
The Thunder rank as the highest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games.
The Thunder have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games when playing at home.
Chet Holmgren has attempted 5.2 free throws per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.2 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season at home.
Chet Holmgren will hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home stadium usually boosts player production for all stats.

Favors Under

Chet Holmgren has shot and missed 3.5 three-point attempts per game over the last 10 games, 1.0 higher than he's missed from 3-point range overall this season.
Among all players in the NBA, Chet Holmgren registers in the 80th percentile for personal fouls, putting up a massive 2.2 fouls per game this year.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Thunder grade out 10thworst in in the league while on their home court with a mere 10.7 offensive rebounds per game this year.

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