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Chet Holmgren

Chet Holmgren Points
Player Prop - 5/13/2025

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets

Chet Holmgren Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-113/-113).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -113.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

In terms of scoring, the Oklahoma City Thunder's outstanding 121.8 points per game measures as the strongest in the NBA over the last 25 games.

The matchup against Denver is a favorable one for three-pointers; when the Denver Nuggets are the visiting team, opposing starting PFs have put up the 5th-highest 3-point rate in the NBA this year (44.8%).

The speediest pace-of-play home team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder.

Chet Holmgren has sunk 4.5 free throws per game over the last 10 games, 1.2 higher than he's put through the net over the course of the season.

Chet Holmgren stands to see an increase in efficiency in all stat categories in light of having the home court advantage in this game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Chet Holmgren has made a mere 45.9% of his shot attempts from the field this season, quite a bit lower than his 52.2 rate last season.

Among all players in the league, Chet Holmgren measures in the 77th percentile for personal fouls, putting up a colossal 2.2 fouls per game this year.

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 7th-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 10 games, which should decrease plays for the Thunder.

Offensive rebounds continue possession and produce more chances for scoring and assists, but the Oklahoma City Thunder rank 10thworst in in the league while on their home court with only 10.6 offensive rebounds per game this year.

The matchup against the Nuggets is a tough one for getting to the charity stripe; opposing starting PFs have attempted just 2.6 free throws per game this year (least in the league).

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