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Chet Holmgren

Chet Holmgren Points
Player Prop - 5/9/2025

Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder

 
 
 
Chet Holmgren Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Chet Holmgren has sunk 2.3 three-pointers per game over the last 10 games, 0.8 more than he's made from 3-point range overall this season.
  • The most up-tempo pace offense in the league over the last 15 games has been the Thunder.
  • Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and create added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Thunder rank 8th-best in in the league with 11.8 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.
  • Chet Holmgren has successfully made 5.0 foul shots per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.2 more than he's sunk overall this year when playing on the road.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have averaged 3.7 three attempts per game (4th-fewest in the NBA) against the Denver Nuggets, identifying this as a tough matchup.
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder will likely suffer a drop-off in plays in this contest from sharing the court with the 8th-most lethargic pace team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Nuggets).
  • As a team, the Oklahoma City Thunder have been bad at getting to the free-throw line: 9th-worst in the league this year, totaling just 20.9 free throw attempts per game.
  • The matchup against the Nuggets is a challenging one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted a lowly 2.6 free throws per game this year (least in the NBA).
  • Chet Holmgren will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing while traveling tends to reduce stat production in all stat categories.

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