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Chet Holmgren

Chet Holmgren Points
Player Prop - 5/7/2025

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets

Chet Holmgren Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Chet Holmgren has sunk 2.2 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 0.7 higher than he's made over the course of the season.

The matchup vs. Denver is a strong one for 3-pointers; when the Nuggets are the visiting squad, the opposition's starting PFs have shot for the 5th-highest 3-point percentage in the league this year (44.8%).

The 2nd-most up-tempo tempo team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Thunder.

Offensive rebounds preserve possession and result in more chances for scoring and assists, and the Oklahoma City Thunder grade out 5th-best in in the NBA with 13.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Chet Holmgren has made 4.5 foul shots per game over the last 10 games, 1.2 higher than he's made over the course of the year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Chet Holmgren has been called for 2.2 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most highest-fouling players in the NBA (80th percentile).

The Nuggets have played at the 6th-slowest tempo in the league over the last 10 games without the home court advantage, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the Thunder.

With respect to getting to the charity stripe, the Thunder's feeble 20.7 foul shots per game rates 7th-worst in the league this year.

The matchup against the Denver Nuggets is a tough one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted a lowly 2.6 free throws per game this year (least in the league).

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