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Chet Holmgren

Chet Holmgren Points
Player Prop - 4/26/2025

Memphis Grizzlies vs Oklahoma City Thunder

Chet Holmgren Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-130/-100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Chet Holmgren has made 2.8 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.1 more than he's made from 3-point range over the course of the year away from home.

The Thunder have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 15 games.

The Grizzlies have played at the most up-tempo pace in the NBA this year, which ought to increase possessions for the Thunder.

The Oklahoma City Thunder check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

Chet Holmgren has converted 5.6 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.3 more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Chet Holmgren has accumulated 2.2 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most foul-prone players in the league (78th percentile).

This year when they are on the road, the other team's starting PFs have tallied 3.0 three attempts per game (2nd-lowest in the NBA) against the Memphis Grizzlies, creating a hard matchup.

As a team, the Thunder have been lousy at getting to the foul line: 5th-worst in the league this year with just 20.4 foul shot attempts per game.

Chet Holmgren will likely suffer a drop-off in effectiveness for all stats in light of being on the road in this game.

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