Chet Holmgren Points - Player Prop Bet 4/20/2025

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Chet Holmgren

NBA · Player Props

Chet Holmgren

C-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Memphis Grizzlies · Apr 20, 2025

Updated Apr 20, 2025 4:34 PM EST

Analysis

Chet Holmgren Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Chet Holmgren has sunk 2.0 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 0.6 higher than he's converted from downtown overall this year.
In terms of shooting, the Thunder's superb 125.2 points per game rates most in the NBA over the last 25 games.
The matchup vs. Memphis is a strong one for three-point attempts; when the Memphis Grizzlies are the visiting team, the opposition's starting PFs have totaled the most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (6.5).
The quickest tempo home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder.
The Thunder are expected to see a spike in possessions in this contest from squaring off against the speediest tempo offense in the league this year (the Grizzlies).

Favors Under

Chet Holmgren has averaged 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 higher than he's averaged over the course of the season.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and produce extra chances for scoring and assists, but the Oklahoma City Thunder rank 4thworst in in the NBA with just 9.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games.

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