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Chet Holmgren

Chet Holmgren Points
Player Prop - 4/9/2025

Phoenix Suns vs Oklahoma City Thunder

Chet Holmgren Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (+102/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -128 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Chet Holmgren has converted 49.2% of his 3-point attempts over the last 10 games on the road, 12.3% more than he's made from beyond the arc overall this season away from home.

When it comes to shooting, the Oklahoma City Thunder's remarkable 125.3 points per game ranks highest in the league over the last 25 games.

The Thunder have played at the 4th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games.

Chet Holmgren has successfully made 85.2% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 11.4% more than he's put through the net in all games this year.

Over the last 10 games when they are the visiting squad, opposing starting PFs have attempted 4.3 free throws per game (2nd-highest in the NBA) against the Suns, making it fairly effortless to draw fouls.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Chet Holmgren has accumulated 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 more than he's accumulated overall this season.

The matchup vs. the Suns is a difficult one for threes; opposing starting PFs have posted the 3rd-lowest 3-point percentage in the NBA this year (29.1%).

The Thunder will likely experience a decrease in plays today from sharing the court with the 3rd-slowest tempo team in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Phoenix Suns).

The Thunder have been the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games when playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

Chet Holmgren will not possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city tends to lower player production for all stats.

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