Chet Holmgren Points - Player Prop Bet 3/31/2025

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Chet Holmgren

NBA · Player Props

Chet Holmgren

C-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Chicago Bulls · Mar 31, 2025

Updated Apr 1, 2025 2:34 AM EST

Analysis

Chet Holmgren Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the highest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games.
The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 25 games with the home court advantage.
The Oklahoma City Thunder will likely get a boost in opportunities in this game from competing against the fastest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Chicago Bulls).
This year when they are at home, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 5.4 free throws per game (3rd-highest in the league) against the Bulls, easily managing to get to the charity stripe.
Chet Holmgren should see a rise in production for all stats considering enjoying the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

The matchup against the Chicago Bulls is a difficult one for field goal attempts; the opposing team's starting PFs have tallied the 3rd-least FG attempts per game in the NBA this year (11.5).
The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
Compared to last season's 0.7 clip, Chet Holmgren's off the mark free throws have spiked this season to 1.2 per game.

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