Chet Holmgren Points - Player Prop Bet 3/27/2025

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Chet Holmgren

NBA · Player Props

Chet Holmgren

C-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Memphis Grizzlies · Mar 27, 2025

Updated Mar 28, 2025 2:29 AM EST

Analysis

Chet Holmgren Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-113/-113).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 17.5 @ -102 before it was bet down to 16.5 @ -113.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Chet Holmgren has converted 55.7% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games, 8.0% more than he's sunk overall this year.
Chet Holmgren has made 50.0% of his 3-point shots over the last 5 games, 13.7% more than he's converted from 3-point range overall this season.
This year when they are playing at home, the other team's starting PFs have totaled 6.5 3-point attempts per game (highest in the NBA) vs. the Memphis Grizzlies, labeling this as a good matchup.
The Thunder have played at the 7th-speediest tempo in the league over the last 15 games.
The Thunder are expected to see a rise in possessions in this game from being pitted against the quickest pace offense in the league this year (the Grizzlies).

Favors Under

As a team, the Thunder have been lousy at getting to the free-throw line: 4th-worst in the league this year, totaling a lowly 20.2 foul shots per game.

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