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Chet Holmgren

Chet Holmgren Points
Player Prop - 3/25/2025

Sacramento Kings vs Oklahoma City Thunder

 
 
 
Chet Holmgren Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Chet Holmgren has made 58.5% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games on the road, 9.3% more than he's put through the hoop overall this year without the home court advantage.
  • Chet Holmgren has successfully made 2.0 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.8 more than he's converted in all games this season when playing away from home.
  • This year, the opposition's starting PFs have averaged 52.6% on shots from the field (6th-best in the league) vs. the Kings, making this a good matchup.
  • The Thunder have played at the 7th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 15 games.
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder will likely experience a decrease in plays in this game from sharing the court with the 3rd-slowest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 15 games (the Sacramento Kings).
  • In terms of drawing fouls, the Thunder's unimpressive 20.2 foul shot attempts per game measures as the 4th-worst in the NBA this year.
  • The matchup against the Sacramento Kings may be a tough one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted a lowly 2.4 foul shots per game over the last 20 games (least in the league).
  • Chet Holmgren should see a decline in production in all facets of the game on account of playing on the visting team in this game.

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