Chet Holmgren Points - Player Prop Bet 3/23/2025

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Chet Holmgren

NBA · Player Props

Chet Holmgren

C-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

LA Clippers vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Mar 23, 2025

Updated Mar 24, 2025 2:24 AM EST

Analysis

Chet Holmgren Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-105/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Favors Under

The matchup against Los Angeles is a hard one for 3-pointers; when the Clippers are playing at home, the other team's starting PFs have tallied the least treys per game in the NBA this year (0.9).
The LA Clippers have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 5 games in their home city, which ought to reduce plays for the Oklahoma City Thunder.
The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games as the road team (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
Over the last 10 games, opposing starting PFs have attempted 2.7 free throws per game (7th-fewest in the league) vs. the LA Clippers, facing an uphill battle to draw fouls.

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