Chet Holmgren Points - Player Prop Bet 3/7/2025

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Chet Holmgren

NBA · Player Props

Chet Holmgren

C-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Portland Trail Blazers · Mar 7, 2025

Updated Mar 8, 2025 4:35 AM EST

Analysis

Chet Holmgren Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (+110/-150).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 18.5 @ -136 before it was bet down to 18.5 @ -150.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Thunder have been the highest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games.
The rate of shots from behind the three-point arc scored against Donovan Clingan has been very high (35.5%) when squaring off against other starting Cs this year (83rd percentile).
The Thunder have played at the 2nd-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Trail Blazers have played at the 7th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games, which ought to boost opportunities for the Oklahoma City Thunder.
The number of fouls drawn by fellow starting Cs vs. Donovan Clingan has been quite high (3.9 free throw attempts per game) when defending fellow starting Cs this year (100th percentile).

Favors Under

The Thunder check in as the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

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