Chet Holmgren Points - Player Prop Bet 3/5/2025

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Chet Holmgren

NBA · Player Props

Chet Holmgren

C-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Memphis Grizzlies vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Mar 5, 2025

Updated Mar 6, 2025 2:24 AM EST

Analysis

Chet Holmgren Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-142/+104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -121 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -142.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the speediest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Oklahoma City Thunder are expected to get a boost in opportunities in this game from squaring off against the most up-tempo pace team in the NBA this year (the Memphis Grizzlies).
The Thunder have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

This year when they are the visiting team, the opposition's starting PFs have totaled 3.0 three attempts per game (2nd-lowest in the league) against the Memphis Grizzlies, designating this as a hard matchup.
As a team, the Oklahoma City Thunder have been lousy at getting to the free-throw line: 3rd-worst in the league this year, totaling just 20.0 foul shot attempts per game.

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