Chet Holmgren Points - Player Prop Bet 3/3/2025

My Account Log Out

reorder

Chet Holmgren

NBA · Player Props

Chet Holmgren

C-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Houston Rockets · Mar 3, 2025

Updated Mar 4, 2025 12:49 AM EST

Analysis

Chet Holmgren Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the league, Chet Holmgren registers in the 78th percentile, averaging a massive 14.7 points per game on his home court this year.
The Oklahoma City Thunder rank as the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 25 games.
The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 7th-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.
Chet Holmgren has attempted 4.4 foul shots per game this year, quite a bit higher than his 3.4 rate last year.
The matchup vs. the Houston Rockets is a good one for drawing fouls; opposing starting PFs have attempted an enormous 5.4 free throws per game this year (2nd-most in the league).

Favors Under

The matchup against the Houston Rockets is a tough one for threes; opposing starting PFs have shot for the lowest 3-point percentage in the league this year (21.7%).
The Houston Rockets have played at the 4th-least up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, which ought to lead to decreased possessions for the Thunder.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and lead to bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Oklahoma City Thunder rank 9thworst in in the NBA while at home with just 10.6 offensive rebounds per game this year.

More Chet Holmgren Props Data by WriteNow™

About WriteNow