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Chet Holmgren

Chet Holmgren Points
Player Prop - 2/28/2025

Atlanta Hawks vs Oklahoma City Thunder

Chet Holmgren Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-115/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Out of all players in the NBA, Chet Holmgren lands in the 82nd percentile, logging a whopping 15.8 points per game this year.

Chet Holmgren has converted 53.3% of his attempts from downtown over the last 5 games on the road, 20.9% more than he's made overall this season without the home court advantage.

The rate of field goals drained against Mouhamed Gueye has been quite high (48.6%) when facing fellow starting PFs this year (83rd percentile).

The Hawks have played at the quickest pace in the league in their home stadium this year, which should boost opportunities for the Thunder.

Offensive rebounds save possession and lead to further chances for scoring and assists, and the Oklahoma City Thunder grade out 4th-best in in the NBA with 13.7 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Over the last 7 games, the opposing team's starting PFs have tallied 14.7 points per game (9th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Hawks, creating a tough matchup for offensive output.

The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 6th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.

As a team, the Thunder have been poor at getting to the free-throw line: 3rd-worst in the NBA this year, tallying a measly 20.0 free throws per game.

Chet Holmgren is expected to experience a decrease in production for all stats on account of playing on the visting team in this game.

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