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Chet Holmgren

Chet Holmgren Points
Player Prop - 2/26/2025

Brooklyn Nets vs Oklahoma City Thunder

Chet Holmgren Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Chet Holmgren has successfully made 48.3% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 5 games on the road, 18.1% more than he's converted from beyond the arc in all games this year away from his home court.

The matchup against Cameron Johnson is a favorable one for shots from behind the three-point arc; when guarding fellow starting PFs this year, they have converted an enormous 40.7% of their shots from behind the three-point arc (97th percentile).

Offensive rebounds preserve possession and bring about more chances for scoring and assists, and the Thunder grade out 2nd-best in in the NBA away from home with 14.8 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

The matchup vs. Brooklyn is a good one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting PFs have attempted a massive 3.9 foul shots per game this year when the Nets are on their home court (10th-most in the league).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This year, the other team's starting PFs have scored 14.6 points per game (3rd-lowest in the league) vs. the Nets, resulting in a hard matchup for offensive output.

The 6th-least up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Thunder.

The Nets have played at the most lethargic tempo in the league this year, which ought to lead to fewer plays for the Thunder.

In contrast to last year's 0.7 rate, Chet Holmgren's off-target foul shot attempts have increased this year to 1.1 per game.

With respect to drawing fouls, the Thunder's poor 19.8 free throw attempts per game ranks 2nd-worst in the NBA this year.

More Chet Holmgren Player Props

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