Chet Holmgren Points - Player Prop Bet 2/23/2025

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Chet Holmgren

NBA · Player Props

Chet Holmgren

C-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Feb 23, 2025

Updated Feb 24, 2025 3:34 AM EST

Analysis

Chet Holmgren Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the league, Chet Holmgren ranks in the 80th percentile, compiling a massive 15.1 points per game this year.
The Oklahoma City Thunder rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The matchup against the Timberwolves is a tough one; they have given up the least points per game in the NBA to opposing starting PFs this year (14.5).
The 7th-most sluggish pace-of-play away offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder.
The Thunder are expected to suffer a reduction in possessions in this contest from facing the 5th-slowest pace-of-play home team in the league over the last 20 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves).
Compared to last year's 0.7 clip, Chet Holmgren's missed free throws have surged this year to 1.1 per game.
With respect to getting to the free-throw line, the Thunder's feeble 19.7 foul shots per game settles in as the 2nd-worst in the NBA this year.

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