Chet Holmgren Points - Player Prop Bet 2/13/2025

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Chet Holmgren

NBA · Player Props

Chet Holmgren

C-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Feb 13, 2025

Updated Feb 14, 2025 1:14 AM EST

Analysis

Chet Holmgren Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-104/-118).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Chet Holmgren has compiled 15.0 points per game this year, putting him among the best players in the NBA by this metric: 80th percentile.
The Thunder rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).
Among all players in the league, Chet Holmgren places in the 91st percentile for getting to the charity stripe, tallying a colossal 4.4 foul shot attempts per game this year.

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Chet Holmgren lands in the 14th percentile for 3-point effectiveness away from his home court with a weak 18.3% rate this year.
This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have tallied 14.5 points per game (lowest in the league) against the Timberwolves, labeling this as a tough matchup for offensive efficiency.
The 8th-least up-tempo pace visiting offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Thunder.
The Timberwolves have played at the 6th-most lethargic tempo in the NBA this year, which should lead to fewer plays for the Oklahoma City Thunder.
As a team, the Thunder have been lousy at getting to the charity stripe: 2nd-worst in the NBA this year, tallying a lowly 19.6 foul shot attempts per game.

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