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Chet Holmgren

Chet Holmgren Points
Player Prop - 2/13/2025

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Oklahoma City Thunder

 
 
 
Chet Holmgren Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-104/-118).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -104.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Chet Holmgren has compiled 15.0 points per game this year, putting him among the best players in the NBA by this metric: 80th percentile.
  • The Thunder rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).
  • Among all players in the league, Chet Holmgren places in the 91st percentile for getting to the charity stripe, tallying a colossal 4.4 foul shot attempts per game this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Among all players in the NBA, Chet Holmgren lands in the 14th percentile for 3-point effectiveness away from his home court with a weak 18.3% rate this year.
  • This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have tallied 14.5 points per game (lowest in the league) against the Timberwolves, labeling this as a tough matchup for offensive efficiency.
  • The 8th-least up-tempo pace visiting offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Thunder.
  • The Timberwolves have played at the 6th-most lethargic tempo in the NBA this year, which should lead to fewer plays for the Oklahoma City Thunder.
  • As a team, the Thunder have been lousy at getting to the charity stripe: 2nd-worst in the NBA this year, tallying a lowly 19.6 foul shot attempts per game.

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