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Chet Holmgren

Chet Holmgren Points
Player Prop - 11/8/2024

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Houston Rockets

 
 
 
Chet Holmgren Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 16.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ +100.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Chet Holmgren has totaled 16.9 points per game this year, putting him in the company of the best players in the NBA by this metric: 85th percentile.
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder check in as the 6th-highest scoring offense in the league this year when it comes to shots made from the field.
  • The 3rd-quickest pace team in the NBA this year has been the Thunder.
  • Chet Holmgren has attempted 4.9 foul shots per game this season, significantly higher than his 3.4 mark last season.
  • Chet Holmgren will enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing with the home court advantage generally raises player performance in all stat categories.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The number of three-point shots made against Alperen Sengun has been remarkably low (0.5 per game) when squaring off against opposing starting Cs this year (3rd percentile).
  • The Rockets have played at the least up-tempo pace in the league away from their home city this year, which ought to lead to fewer possessions for the Oklahoma City Thunder.
  • The Thunder have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA with the home court advantage since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • The number of fouls drawn by fellow starting Cs against Alperen Sengun has been remarkably low this year (2.6 free throws per game: 20th percentile).

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