Chet Holmgren Points - Player Prop Bet 11/1/2024

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Chet Holmgren

NBA · Player Props

Chet Holmgren

C-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Portland Trail Blazers vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Nov 1, 2024

Updated Nov 2, 2024 2:10 AM EST

Analysis

Chet Holmgren Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-118/-104).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 19.5 @ -128 before it was bet down to 18.5 @ -104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the league, Chet Holmgren registers in the 83rd percentile, totaling a massive 16.7 points per game since the start of last season.
Chet Holmgren has converted 50.7% of his field goal attempts away from home since the start of last season, putting him in the 79th percentile among all players in the league.
Chet Holmgren has played 30.1 minutes per game since the start of last season, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 78th percentile.
In regard to scoring, the Thunder's remarkable 118.3 points per game ranks 4th-best in the NBA since the start of last season.
The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the most up-tempo tempo in the NBA while on the road this year.

Favors Under

The matchup vs. Deandre Ayton is a hard one for shots from the field; when Ayton is at home and squaring off against fellow starting Cs since the start of last season, they have attempted a mere 8.9 field goals per game (4th percentile).
The Oklahoma City Thunder rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. Deandre Ayton is a difficult one for getting to the charity stripe; when Ayton is playing at home and facing opposing starting Cs since the start of last season, they have attempted a mere 2.7 free throws per game (25th percentile).
Chet Holmgren figures to see a decline in productivity for all stats due to playing away from home in this contest.

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