Chet Holmgren Points - Player Prop Bet 10/30/2024

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Chet Holmgren

NBA · Player Props

Chet Holmgren

C-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Oklahoma City Thunder vs San Antonio Spurs · Oct 30, 2024

Updated Oct 31, 2024 1:24 AM EST

Analysis

Chet Holmgren Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 19.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 19.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the NBA, Chet Holmgren ranks in the 83rd percentile for scoring ability with a superb 52.4% rate since the start of last season.
The Oklahoma City Thunder rank as the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the league since the start of last season.
The matchup vs. Victor Wembanyama is a favorable one; he has given up a whopping 17.0 points per game when squaring off against fellow starting Cs since the start of last season (100th percentile).
The Thunder have played at the 9th-quickest pace in the NBA since the start of last season.
The Thunder will likely get a boost in plays in this contest from sharing the court with the 2nd-most up-tempo tempo team in the NBA since the start of last season (the Spurs).

Favors Under

Chet Holmgren has averaged 2.3 personal fouls per game while on his home court since the start of last season, ranking him in the 76th percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone.
The Oklahoma City Thunder check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

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