Chet Holmgren Points - Player Prop Bet 5/18/2024

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Chet Holmgren

NBA · Player Props

Chet Holmgren

C-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs Oklahoma City Thunder · May 18, 2024

Updated May 19, 2024 12:36 AM EST

Analysis

Chet Holmgren Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-115/-115).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Chet Holmgren has scored 16.4 points per game this year, putting him among the best players in the league by this standard: 84th percentile.
Among all players in the NBA, Chet Holmgren slots into the 77th percentile for shooting ability away from home with an impressive 50.4% rate this year.
Chet Holmgren has been on the court for 36.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.5 higher than he's been on the court for overall this year.
With respect to scoring, the Oklahoma City Thunder's outstanding 118.6 points per game places 3rd-strongest in the NBA this year.
The matchup with Daniel Gafford registers in only the 100th percentile for difficulty with the other side's starting Cs scoring a colossal 57.1% of their field goal attempts this year.

Favors Under

The Mavericks have played at the 4th-least up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 10 games, which ought to reduce plays for the Oklahoma City Thunder.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and result in extra opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Thunder grade out 2ndworst in in the league with just 8.8 offensive boards per game this year.
Chet Holmgren figures to suffer a reduction in productivity for all stats considering being on the road in this matchup.

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