Chet Holmgren Points - Player Prop Bet 5/13/2024

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Chet Holmgren

NBA · Player Props

Chet Holmgren

C-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs Oklahoma City Thunder · May 13, 2024

Updated May 14, 2024 1:32 AM EST

Analysis

Chet Holmgren Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-115/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Chet Holmgren has logged 16.0 points per game while playing away from home this year, ranking in the 83rd percentile -- among the NBA's leaders in this category.
Chet Holmgren has converted 50.0% of his shot attempts from the field when playing away from home this year, putting him in the 76th percentile among all players in the NBA.
Chet Holmgren has tallied 34.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.5 higher than he's tallied in all games this year.
As it relates to shooting, the Oklahoma City Thunder's outstanding 119.1 points per game settles in as the 3rd-most in the NBA this year.
The Thunder have played at the 5th-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games.

Favors Under

The number of three-point shots attempted against Daniel Gafford has been very low (1.5 per game) when matched up against fellow starting Cs this year (13th percentile).
The Oklahoma City Thunder will likely suffer a drop-off in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the 6th-least up-tempo tempo home offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Dallas Mavericks).
Offensive rebounds continue possession and create extra opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Oklahoma City Thunder grade out 2ndworst in in the league with only 8.8 offensive rebounds per game this year.
Chet Holmgren will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage usually decreases player production for all stats.

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