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Chet Holmgren

Chet Holmgren Points
Player Prop - 5/11/2024

Dallas Mavericks vs Oklahoma City Thunder

Chet Holmgren Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-131/-104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -123 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -131.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Chet Holmgren has tallied 16.0 points per game without the home court advantage this year, ranking in the 84th percentile -- one of the best in the NBA by this standard.

Chet Holmgren has attempted 5.6 threes per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 more than he's attempted over the course of the season.

Chet Holmgren has played 29.7 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 80th percentile.

The Thunder check in as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games.

The rate of three-point shots converted against Daniel Gafford has been remarkably high (35.7%) when facing other starting Cs this year (88th percentile).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Oklahoma City Thunder are expected to see a decline in possessions today from squaring off against the 6th-least up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Dallas Mavericks).

The Oklahoma City Thunder rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

Chet Holmgren will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city tends to worsen player production across the board.

More Chet Holmgren Player Props

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