Chet Holmgren Points - Player Prop Bet 4/14/2024

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Chet Holmgren

NBA · Player Props

Chet Holmgren

C-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Dallas Mavericks · Apr 14, 2024

Updated Apr 14, 2024 7:42 PM EST

Analysis

Chet Holmgren Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the NBA, Chet Holmgren registers in the 84th percentile, logging a monstrous 16.9 points per game playing at home this year.
Out of all players in the league, Chet Holmgren lands in the 81st percentile for scoring performance with a remarkable 52.3% rate this year.
Out of all players in the NBA, Chet Holmgren ranks in the 76th percentile for playing time, posting a massive 29.5 minutes per game while at home this year.
The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games on their home court.
The number of three-point shots attempted against Dwight Powell has been very high (2.5 per game) when on the visiting team and guarding other starting Cs this year (93rd percentile).

Favors Under

The Mavericks have played at the 9th-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home court, which should reduce possessions for the Oklahoma City Thunder.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and spark bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Oklahoma City Thunder rank 2ndworst in in the NBA with a mere 8.8 offensive boards per game this year.

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