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Chet Holmgren

Chet Holmgren Points
Player Prop - 4/5/2024

Indiana Pacers vs Oklahoma City Thunder

 
 
 
Chet Holmgren Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-102/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -102.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Chet Holmgren has compiled 16.3 points per game when playing away from home this year, ranking him in the 84th percentile -- among the league's best by this metric.
  • Chet Holmgren has tallied 29.8 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 80th percentile.
  • The Thunder have been the 4th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year.
  • The 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder.
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder will likely see an increase in opportunities in this game from squaring off against the speediest tempo home team in the NBA this year (the Pacers).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Chet Holmgren has tallied 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's tallied overall this year.
  • When on his home court and matched up against other starting Cs, Myles Turner has been in the 3rd percentile with a mere 1.1 three-pointers attempted against him per game this year.
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
  • The number of fouls drawn by opposing starting Cs vs. Myles Turner has been quite low this year (3.0 foul shot attempts per game when they are playing at home: 20th percentile).
  • Chet Holmgren stands to experience a decrease in productivity in all stat categories in light of playing on the visting team in this matchup.

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