Chet Holmgren Points - Player Prop Bet 3/27/2024

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Chet Holmgren

NBA · Player Props

Chet Holmgren

C-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Houston Rockets · Mar 27, 2024

Updated Mar 28, 2024 12:57 AM EST

Analysis

Chet Holmgren Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -123 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Chet Holmgren has successfully made 55.3% of his shot attempts from the field playing at home this year, putting him in the 85th percentile among all players in the league.
Chet Holmgren has been on the court for 30.3 minutes per game on his home court this year, placing him in the 78th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league.
In regard to offense, the Thunder's remarkable 123.3 points per game at home rates 2nd-highest in the league over the last 25 games.
The matchup vs. Jabari Smith Jr. is a strong one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; when defending fellow starting Cs this year, they have attempted a colossal 2.2 treys per game (90th percentile).
The 4th-fastest tempo offense in the league over the last 20 games has been the Thunder.

Favors Under

Chet Holmgren has committed 2.3 personal fouls per game at home this year, placing him in the 81st percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone.
The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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