Chet Holmgren Points - Player Prop Bet 3/26/2024

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Chet Holmgren

NBA · Player Props

Chet Holmgren

C-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

New Orleans Pelicans vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Mar 26, 2024

Updated Mar 27, 2024 1:29 AM EST

Analysis

Chet Holmgren Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Chet Holmgren has converted 6.4 shots made from the field per game this year, putting him in the 85th percentile among all players in the league.
Out of all players in the league, Chet Holmgren lands in the 80th percentile for playing time, posting an enormous 29.9 minutes per game away from home this year.
The Thunder check in as the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games as the visting team.
The faceoff with Jonas Valanciunas rates in just the 97th percentile for difficulty with the other side's starting Cs converting a massive 62.3% of their field goals this year.
The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the fastest tempo in the league over the last 15 games.

Favors Under

Chet Holmgren has been called for 2.3 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the highest-fouling players in the NBA (83rd percentile).
The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 10th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to decreased possessions for the Thunder.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and produce bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Oklahoma City Thunder rank 2ndworst in in the NBA with a mere 8.8 offensive rebounds per game this year.
Chet Holmgren will likely see a decline in efficiency across the board on account of playing on the visting team in this game.

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