Chet Holmgren Points - Player Prop Bet 3/12/2024

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Chet Holmgren

NBA · Player Props

Chet Holmgren

C-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Indiana Pacers · Mar 12, 2024

Updated Mar 13, 2024 2:01 AM EST

Analysis

Chet Holmgren Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Chet Holmgren has sunk 6.5 baskets per game playing at home this year, putting him in the 84th percentile among all players in the league.
Chet Holmgren has been on the court for 30.0 minutes per game on his home court this year, placing him in the 77th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the NBA.
In terms of offense, the Oklahoma City Thunder's terrific 121.8 points per game measures as the 2nd-most in the league over the last 15 games.
The rate of 3-pointers scored against Myles Turner has been very high (45.6%) when he is on the road and guarding opposing starting Cs this year (93rd percentile).
The 6th-fastest pace-of-play home team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Thunder.

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Chet Holmgren measures in the 82nd percentile for personal fouls, compiling a whopping 2.4 fouls per game while at home this year.
The Oklahoma City Thunder rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA on their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

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