Chet Holmgren Points - Player Prop Bet 3/10/2024

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Chet Holmgren

NBA · Player Props

Chet Holmgren

C-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Memphis Grizzlies · Mar 10, 2024

Updated Mar 11, 2024 2:56 AM EST

Analysis

Chet Holmgren Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the NBA, Chet Holmgren lands in the 83rd percentile, logging a monstrous 17.4 points per game with the home court advantage this year.
With respect to offense, the Oklahoma City Thunder's exceptional 121.9 points per game comes in as the strongest in the NBA over the last 15 games.
The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 4th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games as the home team.
Chet Holmgren has sunk 3.8 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 higher than he's converted in all games this season.
Chet Holmgren stands to see a rise in effectiveness for all stats considering owning the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

The faceoff with Jaren Jackson Jr. slots into the 17th percentile for difficulty with rival starting Cs hitting only 53.3% of their shot attempts from the field this year when they are playing at home.
The Grizzlies have played at the 6th-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games, which should reduce plays for the Oklahoma City Thunder.
The Oklahoma City Thunder check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

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