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Chet Holmgren

Chet Holmgren Points
Player Prop - 3/8/2024

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Miami Heat

Chet Holmgren Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-119/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -129 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -119.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Out of all players in the NBA, Chet Holmgren comes in at the 85th percentile for scoring prowess with a a stellar 54.7% rate this year.

Chet Holmgren has averaged 30.3 minutes per game playing at home this year, ranking in the 77th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA.

The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games.

The Thunder have played at the 4th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.

Chet Holmgren has made 4.8 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.2 higher than he's put through the hoop in all games this season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Chet Holmgren has committed 2.4 personal fouls per game at home this year, placing him in the 83rd percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling.

The number of points posted against Bam Adebayo has been quite low (12.2 per game) when facing other starting Cs this year (3rd percentile).

The Miami Heat have played at the least up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 25 games on the road, which ought to reduce plays for the Oklahoma City Thunder.

Offensive rebounds continue possession and create more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Oklahoma City Thunder rank 1stworst in in the NBA as the home team with just 8.5 offensive boards per game this year.

The matchup against Bam Adebayo is a tough one for drawing fouls; when Adebayo is playing on the road and matched up against other starting Cs this year, they have attempted a mere 2.3 foul shots per game (3rd percentile).

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