Chet Holmgren Points - Player Prop Bet 3/6/2024

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Chet Holmgren

NBA · Player Props

Chet Holmgren

C-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Portland Trail Blazers vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Mar 6, 2024

Updated Mar 7, 2024 3:57 AM EST

Analysis

Chet Holmgren Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-114/-106).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -104 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ -106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the league, Chet Holmgren rates in the 85th percentile for shots from the field sunk, registering a whopping 6.4 per game this year.
Out of all players in the NBA, Chet Holmgren comes in at the 80th percentile for playing time, tallying a whopping 30.0 minutes per game on the road this year.
In regard to shooting, the Thunder's excellent 121.6 points per game settles in as the 3rd-strongest in the league over the last 10 games.
The matchup vs. Duop Reath is a good one for scoring; when Reath is playing at home other starting Cs this year, they have sunk a massive 64.6% of their field goals (97th percentile).
The 3rd-quickest tempo team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Chet Holmgren lands in the 85th percentile for personal fouls, averaging a whopping 2.6 fouls per game while playing on the road this year.
The Trail Blazers have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games, which should reduce plays for the Oklahoma City Thunder.
Offensive rebounds save possession and create further opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Thunder rank 2ndworst in in the league with just 8.7 offensive boards per game this year.
Chet Holmgren will not enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage usually reduces stat production in all stat categories.

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