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Chet Holmgren

Chet Holmgren Points
Player Prop - 3/3/2024

Phoenix Suns vs Oklahoma City Thunder

 
 
 
Chet Holmgren Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-145/+106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -119 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -145.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Chet Holmgren has successfully made 8.4 shots made from the field per game over the last 5 games, 1.9 more than he's put through the net over the course of the season.
  • Chet Holmgren has sunk 2.6 treys per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.9 higher than he's converted in all games this season without the home court advantage.
  • Among all players in the league, Chet Holmgren comes in at the 80th percentile for playing time, posting a massive 30.0 minutes per game away from home this year.
  • In terms of shooting, the Thunder's stellar 124.6 points per game places 2nd-best in the league over the last 10 games.
  • The matchup against the Suns is a difficult one for field goals; opposing teams have put up the 4th-lowest Field Goal% in the league over the last 15 games (44.9%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Among all players in the league, Chet Holmgren ranks in the 88th percentile for personal fouls, logging an enormous 2.6 fouls per game this year.
  • Offensive rebounds maintain possession and produce bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Thunder grade out 2ndworst in in the league with just 8.6 offensive rebounds per game this year.
  • The Suns have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (12.2) in the league to opposing squads over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).
  • The matchup vs. Jusuf Nurkic is a tough one for getting to the foul line; when facing opposing starting Cs this year, they have attempted a measly 2.7 foul shots per game (10th percentile).
  • Chet Holmgren will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium usually lowers player production across the board.

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