Chet Holmgren Points - Player Prop Bet 2/23/2024

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Chet Holmgren

NBA · Player Props

Chet Holmgren

C-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Washington Wizards · Feb 23, 2024

Updated Feb 24, 2024 3:28 AM EST

Analysis

Chet Holmgren Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (+114/-155).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ +114 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ +114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Chet Holmgren has made 54.0% of his shot attempts from the field this year, ranking him in the 84th percentile out of all players in the league.
Chet Holmgren has successfully made 2.6 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.8 more than he's converted from downtown over the course of the season playing at home.
Out of all players in the NBA, Chet Holmgren places in the 78th percentile for playing time, posting an enormous 30.5 minutes per game while at home this year.
The Oklahoma City Thunder check in as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 25 games at home.
The matchup vs. the Washington Wizards is a difficult one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; opposing teams have tallied the 2nd-fewest three attempts per game in the league over the last 25 games (31.7).

Favors Under

Chet Holmgren has averaged 3.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 more than he's averaged overall this season.
The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 10th-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games.
Offensive rebounds save possession and lead to more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Oklahoma City Thunder grade out 2ndworst in in the NBA with just 8.6 offensive rebounds per game this year.
This year, their opposition has snagged 12.7 offensive boards per game (highest in the league) against the Wizards (saving possessions that can create added chances for offense).

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