Chet Holmgren Points - Player Prop Bet 2/13/2024

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Chet Holmgren

NBA · Player Props

Chet Holmgren

C-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Orlando Magic vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Feb 13, 2024

Updated Feb 14, 2024 4:02 AM EST

Analysis

Chet Holmgren Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-137/-137).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -137 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -137.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Chet Holmgren has converted 6.1 shots made from the field per game when playing away from home this year, putting him in the 84th percentile out of all players in the league.
Chet Holmgren has converted 1.7 three-point shots per game this year, placing him in the 76th percentile among all players in the NBA.
Out of all players in the league, Chet Holmgren ranks in the 78th percentile for playing time, totaling a whopping 29.7 minutes per game on the road this year.
The Thunder rank as the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games.
When on his home court and facing opposing starting Cs, Wendell Carter Jr. rates in the 100th percentile with a whopping 13.7 field goal attempts against him per game this year.

Favors Under

Chet Holmgren has averaged 2.5 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most most-whistled players in the NBA (85th percentile).
The 10th-least up-tempo tempo offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder.
The Magic have played at the most sluggish tempo in the league over the last 20 games, which should decrease opportunities for the Thunder.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and produce added chances for scoring and assists, but the Thunder grade out 2ndworst in in the NBA with only 8.7 offensive boards per game this year.
Chet Holmgren will not enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage usually lowers player production in all facets of the game.

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