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Chet Holmgren Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-110/-120).
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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Chet Holmgren has made 54.1% of his field goal attempts this year, ranking him in the 84th percentile out of all players in the NBA.Chet Holmgren has made 3.2 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 1.5 more than he's made from three in all games this season.Chet Holmgren has averaged 30.4 minutes per game at home this year, putting him in the 78th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA.When it comes to offense, the Oklahoma City Thunder's outstanding 123.9 points per game playing at home comes in as the 4th-highest in the league over the last 25 games.The Sacramento Kings have played at the 2nd-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to raise opportunities for the Thunder.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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Among all players in the league, Chet Holmgren rates in the 78th percentile for personal fouls, totaling a massive 2.3 fouls per game when playing at home this year.Over the last 5 games, opposing squads have shot 52.1% on shot attempts from the field (3rd-highest in the NBA) against the Kings, labeling this as a positive matchup.The number of shots from behind the three-point arc attempted against Domantas Sabonis has been very low (1.0 per game) when defending opposing starting Cs this year (3rd percentile).The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 4th-least up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 5 games with the home court advantage.The Thunder rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
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