Chet Holmgren Points - Player Prop Bet 1/20/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Chet Holmgren

C-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Jan 20, 2024

Updated Jan 21, 2024 1:07 AM EST

Analysis

Chet Holmgren Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-114/-106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Chet Holmgren has successfully made 6.1 field goals per game while on the road this year, putting him in the 84th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Among all players in the NBA, Chet Holmgren places in the 78th percentile for playing time, tallying a colossal 30.1 minutes per game this year.
As it relates to shooting, the Thunder's terrific 123.9 points per game ranks 2nd-most in the league over the last 25 games.
When at home and guarding other starting Cs, Rudy Gobert ranks in the 100th percentile with a whopping 2.8 treys attempted against him per game this year.
The 8th-quickest pace offense in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Thunder.

Favors Under

Chet Holmgren has averaged 3.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.1 higher than he's averaged overall this season on the road.
The Thunder will likely suffer a reduction in opportunities today from competing against the 4th-most lethargic pace-of-play home offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves).
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and create bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Oklahoma City Thunder grade out 1stworst in in the league with a mere 8.3 offensive boards per game this year.
While playing at home, the Minnesota Timberwolves have allowed the 10th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.4) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).
Chet Holmgren has converted 55.1% of his free throws over the last 15 games, 22.3% less than he's made over the course of the year.