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Chet Holmgren

Chet Holmgren Points
Player Prop - 1/10/2024

Miami Heat vs Oklahoma City Thunder

Chet Holmgren Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-115/-115).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Chet Holmgren has sunk 7.9 buckets per game over the last 10 games, 1.3 higher than he's converted over the course of the year.

Chet Holmgren has successfully made 2.4 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 0.7 higher than he's made over the course of the season.

Chet Holmgren has tallied 29.7 minutes per game away from home this year, ranking him in the 76th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA.

The Thunder rank as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 15 games.

The Thunder have played at the 8th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The matchup vs. Bam Adebayo is a challenging one for shot attempts from the field; when facing opposing starting Cs this year, they have attempted a lowly 8.6 field goals per game (4th percentile).

The Thunder will likely see a decline in possessions in this game from sharing the court with the 2nd-slowest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 25 games (the Heat).

The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

The clash with Bam Adebayo with respect to getting to the free-throw line measures in the 11th percentile for difficulty with the opposition's starting Cs attempting only 2.7 free throws per game this year when they are on the road.

Chet Holmgren will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage tends to decrease player production in all facets of the game.

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