Chet Holmgren Points - Player Prop Bet 12/31/2023

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Chet Holmgren

NBA · Player Props

Chet Holmgren

C-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Brooklyn Nets · Dec 31, 2023

Updated Jan 1, 2024 2:52 AM EST

Analysis

Chet Holmgren Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-120/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Chet Holmgren has converted 8.6 shots made from the field per game over the last 5 games, 2.1 more than he's made overall this year.
Chet Holmgren has averaged 30.1 minutes per game when playing at home this year, placing him in the 75th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA.
When it comes to offense, the Thunder's superb 127.2 points per game while on their home court ranks 2nd-most in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The 4th-speediest pace home team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder.
Chet Holmgren has converted 3.1 foul shots per game this year, ranking him in the 85th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Chet Holmgren places in the 88th percentile for personal fouls, posting a colossal 2.7 fouls per game this year.
When guarding opposing starting Cs, Nic Claxton ranks in the 3rd percentile with only 0.9 threes attempted against him per game this year.
The Thunder will likely experience a decrease in opportunities in this contest from competing against the 6th-most sluggish pace offense in the league over the last 25 games (the Nets).
The Thunder rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
Over the last 15 games when they are on their home court, opposing teams have collected 11.9 offensive boards per game (4th-most in the NBA) against the Nets (saving possessions that can produce extra opportunities for offense).

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