Chet Holmgren Points - Player Prop Bet 12/27/2023

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Chet Holmgren

NBA · Player Props

Chet Holmgren

C-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Oklahoma City Thunder vs New York Knicks · Dec 27, 2023

Updated Dec 28, 2023 3:56 AM EST

Analysis

Chet Holmgren Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the NBA, Chet Holmgren places in the 85th percentile for shooting prowess with a a great 54.8% rate this year.
Out of all players in the NBA, Chet Holmgren places in the 75th percentile for playing time, compiling a whopping 30.1 minutes per game when playing at home this year.
The Oklahoma City Thunder rank as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games with the home court advantage.
The Thunder have played at the 4th-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games while at home.
The New York Knicks have played at the 5th-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should increase possessions for the Oklahoma City Thunder.

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, Chet Holmgren registers in the 88th percentile for personal fouls, compiling a colossal 2.8 fouls per game this year.
Over the last 10 games, the other team has averaged 40.7% on 3-pointers (2nd-highest in the league) vs. the Knicks, resulting in a positive matchup.
The number of points posted against Isaiah Hartenstein has been remarkably low (13.4 per game) when facing fellow starting Cs this year (17th percentile).
Offensive rebounds save possession and generate further opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Oklahoma City Thunder rank 2ndworst in in the NBA with a mere 8.4 offensive rebounds per game this year.
The number of fouls drawn by opposing starting Cs against Isaiah Hartenstein has been quite low this year (2.3 foul shot attempts per game when they have the home court advantage: 17th percentile).

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