Chet Holmgren Points - Player Prop Bet 12/18/2023

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Chet Holmgren

NBA · Player Props

Chet Holmgren

C-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Memphis Grizzlies · Dec 18, 2023

Updated Dec 19, 2023 12:38 AM EST

Analysis

Chet Holmgren Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-155/+112).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -152 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -155.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Chet Holmgren has averaged 16.9 points per game this year, putting him in the company of the best players in the league in this category: 83rd percentile.
As it relates to offense, the Thunder's remarkable 126.6 points per game with the home court advantage places 4th-strongest in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The 6th-quickest pace-of-play home offense in the NBA this year has been the Oklahoma City Thunder.
The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 8th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA while traveling this year, which ought to raise possessions for the Oklahoma City Thunder.
The Memphis Grizzlies have given up the 8th-least offensive boards per game (10.4) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Chet Holmgren has accumulated 2.9 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most-whistled players in the NBA (91st percentile).
This year when they are playing at home, the opposition's starting Cs have totaled 0.7 three attempts per game (15th-fewest in the NBA) against the Grizzlies, labeling this as a hard matchup.
The Thunder check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

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