Chet Holmgren Points - Player Prop Bet 11/22/2023

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Chet Holmgren

NBA · Player Props

Chet Holmgren

C-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Chicago Bulls · Nov 22, 2023

Updated Nov 23, 2023 1:13 AM EST

Analysis

Chet Holmgren Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-120/-102).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 18.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 17.5 @ -102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the league, Chet Holmgren measures in the 94th percentile for three-point proficiency when playing at home with a an excellent 54.1% rate this year.
In terms of shooting, the Thunder's remarkable 119.6 points per game measures as the 6th-best in the NBA this year.
This year, opposing starting Cs have totaled 3.4 3-point attempts per game (29th-most in the NBA) against the Bulls, marking this as a favorable matchup.
The Thunder have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA as the visting team this year.
Among all players in the league, Chet Holmgren measures in the 86th percentile for foul shots made, registering an enormous 3.5 per game this year.

Favors Under

Chet Holmgren has tallied 2.9 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the most-whistled players in the NBA (85th percentile).
The Thunder are expected to suffer a reduction in plays today from facing the 2nd-most lethargic tempo road offense in the league this year (the Chicago Bulls).
The Oklahoma City Thunder check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league without the home court advantage this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).
Over the last 15 games when they are on the road, their opposition has captured 11.0 offensive boards per game (2nd-highest in the league) against the Bulls (saving possessions that can lead to added opportunities for offense).

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