Chet Holmgren Points - Player Prop Bet 11/8/2023

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Chet Holmgren

NBA · Player Props

Chet Holmgren

C-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Nov 8, 2023

Updated Nov 9, 2023 1:18 AM EST

Analysis

Chet Holmgren Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-125/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Chet Holmgren has averaged 17.0 points per game since the start of last season, putting him among the best players in the NBA in this category: 88th percentile.
Chet Holmgren has tallied 30.0 minutes per game when playing on the road this year, putting him in the 75th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the NBA.
Since the start of last season when they are on the road, the other team's starting Cs have shot 46.6% on 3-pointers (30th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Cavaliers, marking this as a positive matchup.
The 10th-most up-tempo pace visiting team in the NBA this year has been the Oklahoma City Thunder.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and lead to more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Oklahoma City Thunder grade out 6thbest in in the league without the home court advantage with 11.1 offensive boards per game since the start of last season.

Favors Under

Chet Holmgren has tallied 3.4 personal fouls per game playing at home since the start of last season, ranking him in the 98th percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone.
The Oklahoma City Thunder rank as the 7th-least efficient shooting team in the league away from home since the start of last season.
The Cleveland Cavaliers have given up the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.6) in the league to their opposition over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).

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