Chet Holmgren Points - Player Prop Bet 11/3/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Chet Holmgren

C-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Golden State Warriors · Nov 3, 2023

Updated Nov 3, 2023 11:33 PM EST

Analysis

Chet Holmgren Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-145/+105).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Chet Holmgren has registered 15.8 points per game when playing on the road since the start of last season, ranking in the 85th percentile -- among the league's best by this standard.
Chet Holmgren has successfully made 65.2% of his field goals while playing at home since the start of last season, placing him in the 91st percentile among all players in the league.
Chet Holmgren has been on the court for 28.7 minutes per game on the road since the start of last season, putting him in the 77th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA.
The matchup against Golden State is a positive one for field goal attempts; when the Warriors are the visiting squad, the opposing team's starting Cs have tallied the 27th-most field goal attempts per game in the league since the start of last season (10.5).
The 9th-most up-tempo tempo offense in the league this year has been the Oklahoma City Thunder.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Chet Holmgren measures in the 98th percentile for personal fouls, totaling a monstrous 3.4 fouls per game without the home court advantage since the start of last season.
With respect to shooting, the Thunder's lackluster 46.6% field goal rate while playing on the road ranks 7th-lowest in the NBA since the start of last season.
The {OPP_TEAM} will likely see a decline in opportunities in this contest from sharing the court with the 9th-most sluggish tempo home team in the league this year (the Warriors).
Since the start of last season when they are at home, the other team has snagged 10.9 offensive boards per game (7th-most in the league) against the Golden State Warriors (saving possessions that can create additional chances for offense).