Chet Holmgren Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 5/18/2025

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Chet Holmgren

NBA · Player Props

Chet Holmgren

C-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Made 3 Point Shots

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets · May 18, 2025

Updated May 18, 2025 7:33 PM EST

Analysis

Chet Holmgren Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +124 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

With respect to shot attempts from beyond the arc, the 5th-most aggressive offense in the league while on their home court over the last 20 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder.
This year when they are playing at home, the opposition's starting PFs have shot 44.8% on threes (5th-best in the NBA) vs. the Denver Nuggets, making this a positive matchup.
The Thunder have played at the quickest tempo in the league over the last 5 games on their home court.
Chet Holmgren stands to see an increase in performance in all stat categories on account of having the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

Chet Holmgren has failed to make 3.3 attempts from beyond the arc per game over the last 10 games, 0.8 more than he's missed from downtown in all games this season.
Chet Holmgren has committed 2.3 personal fouls per game on his home court this year, ranking him in the 78th percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling.
The Denver Nuggets have played at the 10th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games, which ought to lead to decreased possessions for the Thunder.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and create added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Oklahoma City Thunder rank 10thworst in in the NBA at home with only 10.6 offensive boards per game this year.

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