Chet Holmgren Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 5/11/2025

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Chet Holmgren

NBA · Player Props

Chet Holmgren

C-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Made 3 Point Shots

Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder · May 11, 2025

Updated May 11, 2025 7:34 PM EST

Analysis

Chet Holmgren Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Chet Holmgren has attempted 5.6 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.7 more than he's attempted in all games this year.
Chet Holmgren has played 27.9 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 75th percentile.
The 2nd-fastest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Thunder.
The Thunder rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

This year, the opposition's starting PFs have totaled 3.7 three attempts per game (4th-fewest in the league) vs. the Nuggets, designating this as a hard matchup.
The Nuggets have played at the 7th-slowest tempo in the league over the last 10 games, which should reduce possessions for the Oklahoma City Thunder.
Chet Holmgren stands to suffer a drop-off in production in all facets of the game in light of playing on the visting team in this matchup.

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