Chet Holmgren Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 5/5/2025

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Chet Holmgren

NBA · Player Props

Chet Holmgren

C-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Made 3 Point Shots

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets · May 5, 2025

Updated May 6, 2025 3:59 AM EST

Analysis

Chet Holmgren Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-135/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +115 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Chet Holmgren has sunk 2.2 treys per game over the last 5 games, 0.7 higher than he's converted overall this season.
The matchup against Denver is a good one for three-point shots; when the Nuggets are the visiting squad, the opposing team's starting PFs have posted the 5th-highest three percentage in the NBA this year (44.8%).
The 2nd-quickest pace team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Thunder.
The Oklahoma City Thunder rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).
Chet Holmgren figures to get a boost in output for all stats due to holding the home court advantage in this contest.

Favors Under

Chet Holmgren has accumulated 2.2 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-whistled players in the NBA (76th percentile).
The Denver Nuggets have played at the slowest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home court, which should reduce possessions for the Thunder.

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